17 May 2004
"My loan officer recommended a Libor
ARM, said it was a good deal. Is this true?"
It could be true. Libor ARMs may have lower
margins than other ARMs because of their appeal to foreign investors. But that
doesn�t necessarily mean that you will get the lower margin, or that if
you do, it won�t be offset by some other feature of the ARM that disadvantages
you.
I advise against selecting an ARM based on
the index, or any other one feature. You don�t buy a car because of its tires.
Like a car, ARMs have several important features, and you should select one
because all the features add up to an attractive instrument.
Libor is short for the London InterBank Offer
Rate, the interest rate offered for U.S. dollar deposits by a group of large
banks, including some US banks, in London. There are actually several Libors
corresponding to different deposit maturities. Rates are quoted for 1-month,
3-month, 6-month and 12-month deposits.
A Libor ARM is an adjustable rate mortgage on
which the interest rate is tied to a specified Libor. After an initial period
during which the rate is fixed, it is adjusted to equal the most recent value of
the Libor plus a margin, subject to any adjustment cap.
For example, on April 26, 2004, one lender
was offering a 6-month Libor ARM at a start rate of 3%, zero points, and a
margin of 1.625%. The new rate 6 months later will be 1.625% plus the 6-month
Libor at that time. If the Libor is (say) 2.625%, the new rate will be 1.625% +
2.625% = 4.25%. If the adjustment cap that limits the size of rate changes is
1%, however, the new rate will be the start rate of 3% + the cap of 1% = 4%.
Libor ARMs do have some special features:
Low Margins for A-Quality Borrowers: Libor ARMs were developed to meet the needs of foreign investors looking to
minimize their interest rate risk on dollar-denominated investments. A foreign
bank that buys the 6-month Libor ARM containing a 1.625% margin can borrow the
funds it needs in the inter-bank market for 6 months at the 6-month Libor. The
bank pays the depositor Libor, and it earns Libor + 1.625% on the ARM. The
margin is locked in, except to the extent that changes in Libor are not fully
matched by changes in the ARM rate because of rate caps.
Because of the reduced risk, investors in
Libor ARMs are willing to accept a smaller margin than is common on other ARMs.
On April 26, 2004, for example, the Libor margin available to A-quality
borrowers was as low as 1.50%, compared to 2.25 � 2.75% on ARMs indexed to
other series.
But not everyone can benefit from the low
margin. On the same day that the lender cited above was offering a 6-month Libor
ARM at 3% with a 1.625% margin, a sub-prime lender was offering a 6-month Libor
ARM to borrowers with D-credit at 10% with a 7% margin!
Attractive Buydowns:On
30-year fixed-rate mortgages, borrowers can usually "buy down" the
rate by �% by paying about 1.5 points. I have seen 6-month Libor ARMs (which
also have a term of 30 years) that allow the borrower to buy down the rate and
margin by �% for only 3/8 of a point. This is an incredible bargain, but the
Libors that offer it may have an unusually high maximum rate.
No Negative Amortization: Libor
ARMs don�t offer the payment flexibility, nor the associated risks, of
negative amortization ARMs.
High Volatility: Libor is about as volatile as rates on short-term US Government securities, and
more volatile than the COFI, CODI and MTA indexes.
But don�t select a Libor ARM for its
special features. Select it because all its features in combination make it more
attractive than the other mortgages you are comparing it to. It will be more
attractive than the others if, during the period you expect to have the
mortgage, the interest savings early in that period (relative to the other
mortgages) outweigh the risk of possible interest rate and payment increases
later on.
The best way to make such a judgment is by
comparing changes in the interest rate and payment on the Libor ARM with those
on other mortgages. Calculator 7b makes it easy to do this on any assumptions
you make about how market interest rates change in the future. For an even
easier approach using my assumptions about interest rate change, go to the Libor
Loan Tutorial.
Copyright Jack Guttentag 2004
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